Friday, July 3, 2020

Mr. President: Please Resign or Don’t Run Again

Mr. President: This is the right moment to resign or signal you will NOT run for re-election. Please hear me out. This is for your own good:


Hillary was up on you by 4 points in the polls at this point. She lost two points by the election and won the popular vote by 2.5 points. Like Sec of State Kerry, it was not enough to win the Electoral College, either time. You had slightly larger margins where it counted for the EC win in 2016.


That is different now. Your base, whom you call poorly educated, is still cult-like in their adoration of you but vastly diminished. You are not going to win this time. That much is clear. 


Look at this poll aggregation. Down by ten points now? There is no coming back from that, especially given the news (COVID, unemployment, industry uncertainty, the Bounty issue, the racial issues ...). Real Clear Politics leans right. Look at their aggregate today:


RCP Average

6/17 - 6/30

49.3

40.0

Biden +9.3

YouGov

6/28 - 6/30

49

40

Biden +9

IBD/TIPP

6/27 - 6/30

48

40

Biden +8

Monmouth

6/26 - 6/30

53

41

Biden +12

CNBC

6/26 - 6/28

49

41

Biden +8

USA Today

6/25 - 6/29

53

41

Biden +12

NPR/PBS

6/22 - 6/24

52

44

Biden +8

The Hill

6/22 - 6/23

43

39

Biden +4

CNBC

6/19 - 6/22

47

38

Biden +9

NYT/Siena

6/17 - 6/22

50

36

Biden +14


Electoral College

222

125


Battlegrounds

Biden

Trump

Spread

Florida

49.0

42.6

Biden +6.4

Pennsylvania

48.7

41.7

Biden +7.0

Wisconsin

48.5

42.0

Biden +6.5

North Carolina

47.2

44.2

Biden +3.0

Arizona

47.5

44.0

Biden +3.5


Biden is up by five points in TEXAS!! The former Vice President is not up by a few points but at or nearly at double digits. In most polls, if he loses by 5 points, he still has a commanding lead overall, and some lead IN EVERY BATTLE GROUND STATE. It is now insurmountable. Like President Johnson: you should understand this and bow out.


Mr. President: you spent your life building a brand that is about to be crushed as you lose. We all know you hate the MAGAs because they are not rich: they cannot support your brand, and won’t, once they perceive you as a loser. As I said, who really cares: they are not your clientele.


Mr. President: SAVE YOUR BRAND. Make Trump TV NOW while you still have the interest of the sixty plus MILLION who voted for you. Be Their Voice. Take the best staff from Fox and Oan and make your own channel.


Mr. President: even if you lose 20,000,000 MAGAs - that is still about 40,000,000 DEDICATED VIEWERS.   At $5 monthly, that is $200,000,000 A MONTH!!! Serious money, serious following, without all the legal and other boring entrapment of actual governance.


You are at the top of your game right now. Staying on will be your destruction. If you lose, it will go poorly for your family and you, personally, and if you win there is no upside: you will be forced to work with COVID, while being berated first everything you believe in and do. Where is the fun in that? Certainly no more pussy grabbing - and Melania will make a mess of your personal life. People out of work tend to get into trouble, marches, defacing property, calling for new rights, more handouts, etc .... All that juxtaposed against $200,000,000 A MONTH, adoring fans, and unmuzzled opinions, without concern for any protocol.


Think about it, Mr. President. I’m about your age, from our hometown in Queens and know you, big picture.  Like you, I am a person of means who can read the writing on the wall. People are abandoning you. Did you see today’s NYT?



Meet the Supporters Trump Has Lost

A significant majority of people who voted for him in 2016 are planning to do so again. What is different about those who’ve had a change of heart?


By Claire Cain Miller, Kevin Quealy and Nate Cohn

  • July 1, 2020

For some, the disenchantment started almost as soon as Donald J. Trump took office. For others, his handling of the coronavirus and social unrest turned them away. For all of them, it’s highly unlikely they will vote for him again.


These voters, who backed Mr. Trump in 2016 but say there’s “not really any chance” they will this year, represent just 2 percent of all registered voters in the six states most likely to decide the presidency, according to New York Times/Siena College polls. But they help explain why the president faces a significant deficit nationwide and in the battleground states.


“I think if he weren’t such an appalling human being, he would make a great president, because I think what this country needs is somebody who isn’t a politician,” said Judith Goines, 53, a finance executive at a home building company in Fayetteville, N.C. “But obviously with the coronavirus and the social unrest we’re dealing with, that’s where you need a politician, somebody with a little bit more couth.”


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/upshot/poll-trump-defectors-2020-election.html?referringSource=articleShare



Stop the hemmoraging. Save your brand. Work out a deal, now: no prosecution in return for resigning today. 


Mr. President: $200,000,000 A MONTH vs prison or, if you are lucky, getting to oversee COVID, a broke economy, and a racial divide like never before.


Isn’t the choice obvious? Resign, take the money, and run. 😉